Despite the mess that is the 2019 Oscars, it is refreshing to have a season that feels unpredictable. Best Picture is still up in the air as is Best Supporting Actress while there is room for upsets in nearly every category. As a lifelong Oscar fan, it’s always more excited to not know who’s going to win come Sunday night.
Here are my predictions in ever category:
Will Win: BlacKkKlansman
Could Win: Roma or Green Book
Should Win: Roma or Black Panther
I’m taking a big swing in this category. While BlacKkKlansman hasn’t won a major prize, it was nominated every where it needed to be. People love and respect Spike Lee. I think this is going to do really well on the preferential ballot. As long as Roma or Green Book don’t win on a first round then I think this is your Best Picture winner.
The nominees:
Will Win: Glenn Close, The Wife
Could Win: Olivia Coleman, The Favourite
Should Win: Olivia Coleman, The Favourite
Glenn Close will finally end her 37-year losing streak when she wins her first Oscar for The Wife. There is the *tiniest* chance that BAFTA winner Olivia Coleman wins for her performance Queen Ann in The Favourite.
The nominees:
Will win: Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Could win: Christian Bale, Vice
Should win: Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
Although Christian Bale won the Golden Globe and Critics Choice awards for his performance as Dick Cheney in Vice, I think the real challenger to clear frontrunner Rami Malek is Bradley Cooper. For better or worse, he’s been in the news a lot and if voters want to award A Star is Born outside of Best Original Song, this would be the place to do it.
Continue ReadingThe first major awards show of the season, the Golden Globes, is this Sunday! Vice leads all films—drama and musical or comedy—with 6 nominations including Best Motion Picture — Musical or Comedy.
Not far behind is Oscar favorites The Favourite (with nominations for all three leading actresses), Green Book, and A Star is Born (including nominations for Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper).
If our predictions are right, Vice and A Star is Born will lead with 3 wins apiece.
The nominees:
Will Win: Lady Gaga, A Star is Born
Could Win: Glenn Close, The Wife
Should Win: Lady Gaga, A Star is Born
With her main Oscar rivals Olivia Colman (The Favourite) and Emily Blunt (Mary Poppins Returns) in the Comedy or Musical category, Lady Gaga (A Star is Born) has an easy path to the win.
The nominees:
Will Win: Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Could Win: Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
Should Win: Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
The Golden Globes love a musical performance, and this category has two—the reason they’re not in the comedy or musical category is because the studios opted to submit the films as dramas. This race is a toss-up between Rami Malek’s energetic portrayal of Freddie Mercury in Bohemian Rhapsody and Bradley Cooper’s southern drenched alcoholic country star in A Star is Born.
The Globes—unlike most critics—loved Bohemian Rhapsody, so I think Malek has the edge.
The nominees:
Will Win: A Star is Born
Could Win: BlacKkKlansman
Should Win: If Beale Street Could Talk
Though it’s been a bit dormant during critics season, this is A Star is Born’s chance to shine. Plus, the Golden Globes always go with the Oscar frontrunner. If there is an upset, Spike Lee’s BlacKkKlansman—it overperformed in nominations—is the most likely to pull it off.
Continue reading “2019 Golden Globes Predictions — Film”
