Refreshingly, Lead Actress in a Drama Series is the more competitive of the lead categories on the drama side. However, there doesn't seem to be much movement from last year's group. Reigning champ Viola Davis (“How to Get Away with Murder”) is sure to return along with last year's near winner Taraji P. Henson (“Empire”).
After them, Robin Wright (“House of Cards”) will return and could actually win it all this year if she selects the right episode (she's had a problem with that thus far). “Chapter 49” shows Claire at her most vulnerable and gives her some incredible scenes and a great closing speech that could put her over the edge.
As the “Homeland” Renaissance continues, Claire Danes is assured to return especially after the strong year they had at the Emmys last year.
The last spot is a little trickier. The smart money would be on two-time winner in this category Julianna Margulies (“The Good Wife”) returning, especially since this is the show's last year. However, she has been on shaky ground in this category. She was nominated three years in a row (winning once), then snubbed, then returned and won, and then was snubbed again. Will she really return for an average season of the show? I don't think she will.
Most people would predict Michelle Dockery (“Downton Abbey”) to return for the show's final season, but I think that Keri Russell (“The Americans”) will finally get an overdue nomination in the category after three years of snubs. The show was finally nominated in its first major category last year (in writing), which could open the floodgates for more above the line categories (a la “Friday Night Lights”).
Dockery, Kerry Washington (“Scandal”), and Eva Green (“Penny Dreadful”) (mostly wishful thinking) have chances to return as well.
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