The Emmys are this Sunday! So, we made our predictions in every category.
Drama Series
Will Win: Stranger Things
Could Win: The Handmaid’s Tale
Dark Horse: The Crown
If you asked me who was going to win earlier this year, I would have said that The Crown was a lock. However, its buzz has waned since then and The Handmaid’s Tale picked up steam. But I feel an upset brewing in this category. That’s because Stranger Things did well at the Creative Arts ceremony — they won five awards. Most importantly, it took the crucial Picture Editing award, which has predicted the last 5 winners of Best Drama Series.
Lead Actor in a Drama Series
Will Win: Sterling K. Brown, This Is Us
Could Win: Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Dark Horse: Anthony Hopkins, Westworld
Brown should win this easily barring a major upset.
Lead Actress in a Drama Series
Will Win: Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale
Could Win: Claire Foy, The Crown
Dark Horse: Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder
This is going to be a tight race between Moss and Foy. And though Foy won the Globe and the SAG, Moss has been an Emmy bridesmaid for so long that an overdue win should be coming her way. Though, look out for Davis, who is riding high on her recent Oscar win for Fences
Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
Will Win: Millie Bobby Brown, Stranger Things
Could Win: Chrissy Metz, This Is Us & Thandie Newton, Westworld
Dark Horse: Ann Dowd, The Handmaid’s Tale
This is going to be the hardest category to predict the entire night. This is Us has been incredibly popular with actors — they have seven acting nominations — and is the only broadcast show in contention on the drama side. Metz has a narrative to win. However, Millie Bobby Brown, is the actor of the moment. She has become such a cultural icon even larger than the show itself. Plus, if the show wins Drama Series, it can certainly take her along the ride. Thandie Newton has received the most acclaim of anyone in this category, but Westworld‘s confusing narrative could squander its chances in these main categories. It’s a coin flip at this point. I’m going to give Brown the VERY slight edge, but don’t be surprised if one of the other two actresses surprise.
Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Will Win: John Lithgow, The Crown
Could Win: Ron Cephas Jones, This Is Us
Dark Horse: David Harbour, Stranger Things
John Lithgow should easily win this category. But Ron Cephas Jones certainly has room to upset. If Stranger Things goes on a sweep, Harbour could be taken along.
Writing for a Drama Series
Will Win: “Offred” (The Handmaid’s Tale)
Could Win: “The Vanishing of Will Byers” ( Stranger Things)
Directing for a Drama Series
Will Win: “The Vanishing of Will Byers” (Stranger Things)
Could Win: “Offred” (The Handmaid’s Tale)
Comedy Series
Will Win: Veep
Could Win: Atlanta
Dark Horse: Black-ish
It’s going to be hard for any series to overcome Veep at its height.
Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
Will Win: Jeffrey Tambour, Transparent
Could Win: Donald Glover, Atlanta
Dark Horse: Anthony Anderson, Black-ish
A lot of pundits are predicting Glover, but I find it hard to believe Tambour isn’t going to three-peat.
Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
Will Win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
Could Win: Tracee Ellis Ross, Black-ish
Dark Horse: Allison Janney, Mom
Louis-Dreyfuss continues her 5-year streak here.
Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series
Will Win: Kate McKinnon, Saturday Night Live
Could Win: Anna Chlumsky, Veep
Dark Horse: Leslie Jones, Saturday Night Live
McKinnon has the edge, but having three Saturday Night Live ladies in the category could have a negative effect. If that’s the case, then Anna Chlumsky could finally win a very overdue Emmy for the series.
Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
Will Win: Alex Baldwin, Saturday Night Live
Could Win: Louie Anderson, Baskets
Dark Horse: Tituss Burgess, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Baldwin should easily win this.
Writing for a Comedy Series
Will Win: “Thanksgiving” (Master of None)
Could Win: “B.A.N” ( Atlanta)
Directing for a Comedy Series
Will Win: “B.A.N.” (Atlanta)
Could Win: “Groundbreaking” (Veep)
Limited Series
Will Win: Big Little Lies
Could Win: The Night Of
Dark Horse: Feud: Bette and Joan
Big Little Lies has the acclaim and has become a cultural phenomenon. But don’t count out The Night Of or Feud, the latter of which has a lot of star power behind it.
TV Movie
Will Win: Black Mirror: San Junerpino
Could Win: Wizard of Lies
Dark Horse: Sherlock: The Lying Detective
This is one of the weaker categories of the night, but Black Mirror feels like the popular pick. Though, Wizard of Lies does have more support through other categories.
Lead Actor in a Limited Series or TV Movie
Will Win: Ewan McGregor, Fargo
Could Win: Riz Ahmed, The Night Of
Dark Horse: John Turturro, The Night Of
McGregor has gotten mixed reviews for his performance, however, much of the campaign surrounding him has to do with his dual-role. The Emmys love dual roles. That’s why I think he’s going to do it. However, both The Night Of guys are chomping at his heels. Ahmed is the more likely of the two to win.
Lead Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie
Will Win: Nicole Kidman, Big Little Lies
Could Win: Susan Sarandon or Jessica Lange, Feud: Bette and Joan
Dark Horse: Carrie Coon, Fargo
I think Sarandon and Lange cancel each other out. Under the old system of voting — voters used to rank the nominees — I think that one of them would have won. However, with the new popular vote system, it’s more likely that the two are going to draw votes from each other.
But why are the Witherspoon and Kidman not canceling each other out?
I think Kidman is the more clear choice between the two. Better role. Better material.
Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie
Will Win: Regina King, American Crime
Could Win: Laura Dern, Big Little Lies
Dark Horse: Judy Davis, Feud: Bette and Joan
This is the tightest race in the Limited Series or TV Movie categories. Dern’s show has a lot more buzz than the others in the category. But King has surprised for the last two years winning in shocking upsets. And with her best role to date, I think that she’s going to win her third.
Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or TV Movie
Will Win: Alexander Skarsgard, Big Little Lies
Could Win: Stanley Tucci, Feud: Bette and Joan
Dark Horse: Michael K. Williams, The Night Of
Skarsgard wants to win this. He’s been doing far more campaigning than his competitors and has the strength of his show behind him. If anyone takes him down, it’s one of the Feud actors with Tucci being the most likely.
Reality-Competition Series
Will Win: RuPaul’s Drag Race
Could Win: The Voice
Dark Horse: The Amazing Race
With three wins at the Creative Arts ceremony, RuPaul’s Drag Race should win its first trophy in the category. However, there’s always a chance past winners The Voice and The Amazing Race upset.
Variety Sketch Series
Will Win: Saturday Night Live
Could Win: No One
This is the safest category of the night. With their best season in decades, Saturday Night Live should deservedly win.
Variety Talk Series
Will Win: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
Could Win: Late Show with Stephen Colbert
Dark Horse: Full Frontal with Samantha Bee
John Oliver should notch his second win, but with such a ripe political season, Colbert and Samantha Bee could certainly upset. Also, watch out for Jimmy Kimmel Live, who has a lot of buzz with his heartful speeches regarding his son.