‘Parasite’ and the changing Oscars

The final Oscars ceremony of the 2010s has wrapped up and it was one of the most, if not the most, exciting conclusions to an awards season ever. Parasite made Oscars history as the first film not in English to win Best Picture and the first South Korean film to win Best International Feature —…

2020 Oscar Predictions — Best Picture

Best Picture at the 2020 Oscars is going to be one of the most competitive races of all time. Here are my predictions.  ? Updated December 14, 2019 Likely nomination (listed alphabetically): 1917The IrishmanJojo RabbitMarriage StoryOnce Upon a Time in HollywoodParasite On the bubble: BombshellThe FarewellFord v FerrariJokerLittle Women See all my Oscar predictions here. Full…

2020 Oscars Update #1: Are ‘Us’ or ‘Captain Marvel’ contenders?

This is the state of the 2020 Oscars race. At the end of every month, I’m going to take a look at the state of the Oscars race — breaking down the contenders that made a splash, those that fizzled out, and the ones to come.

317 days until the 2020 Oscars

Oscar contenders that were released this month

By this time last year, three Oscar-nominated films had premiered — Best Picture nominee Black Panther, Best Animated Feature nominee Isle of Dogs, and Best Visual Effects nominee Ready Player One.

Most notably, it was the second year in a row that a best picture nominee was released in the first quarter of the year — Get Out was released in February 2017. And what do Get Out and Black Panther have in common? They were both massive hits at the box office. It makes sense considering it takes a lot for a voter to remember your film almost a year later.

2019 has been notably slow at the box office, but there have been two massive hits that could be in the Oscar conversation. Funny enough, they both have connections to past early Oscar contenders:

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2019 Oscars Final Predictions

Despite the mess that is the 2019 Oscars, it is refreshing to have a season that feels unpredictable. Best Picture is still up in the air as is Best Supporting Actress while there is room for upsets in nearly every category. As a lifelong Oscar fan, it’s always more excited to not know who’s going to win come Sunday night. 

Here are my predictions in ever category:

Best Picture

Will Win: BlacKkKlansman
Could Win: Roma or Green Book
Should Win: Roma or Black Panther

I’m taking a big swing in this category. While BlacKkKlansman hasn’t won a major prize, it was nominated every where it needed to be. People love and respect Spike Lee. I think this is going to do really well on the preferential ballot. As long as Roma or Green Book don’t win on a first round then I think this is your Best Picture winner. 

Best Actress

Olivia Coleman as Queen Anne in THE FAVOURITE

The nominees:

  • Glenn Close, The Wife
  • Olivia Coleman, The Favourite
  • Lady Gaga, A Star is Born
  • Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
  • Yalitza Aparicio, Roma

Will Win: Glenn Close, The Wife
Could Win: Olivia Coleman, The Favourite
Should Win: Olivia Coleman, The Favourite

Glenn Close will finally end her 37-year losing streak when she wins her first Oscar for The Wife. There is the *tiniest* chance that BAFTA winner Olivia Coleman wins for her performance Queen Ann in The Favourite

Best Actor

Rami Malek in BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY

The nominees:

  • Christian Bale, Vice
  • Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
  • Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
  • Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate
  • Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

Will win: Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Could win: Christian Bale, Vice
Should win: Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born

Although Christian Bale won the Golden Globe and Critics Choice awards for his performance as Dick Cheney in Vice, I think the real challenger to clear frontrunner Rami Malek is Bradley Cooper. For better or worse, he’s been in the news a lot and if voters want to award A Star is Born outside of Best Original Song, this would be the place to do it. 

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2019 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor

Best Supporting Actor at the 2019 Oscars is stacked with industry veterans and newcomers looking for their shot at Oscar glory. Best Supporting Actor seems to be the most locked acting categories as Mahershala Ali has swept every televised acting prize including the Golden Globe, Screen Actors Guild, and Critics Choice. However, I think there…

2019 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress

Best Supporting Actress has a frontrunner in Regina King, but there's a good chance she is upset by Rachel Weisz or even Marina de Tavira. Best Supporting Actress is possibly the trickiest category to predict at the Oscars this year. Here are my current rankings: Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk) — Golden Globe, Critics…

2019 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture

Best Picture this year is as unpredictable as ever with four frontrunners and the possibility of a barrier-breaking superhero movie winning. Best Picture is an odd category at the 2019 Oscars. What is making this year more unpredictable is almost the opposite of last year. Instead of there being multiple films with valid chances of winning,…

2019 Oscar Predictions: Best Actress

Best Actress is one of the most competitive categories at the 2019 Oscars as Glenn Close hopes to finally seal the deal. Best Actress, unlike its Best Actor counterpart, is a little bit more clear in terms of who the top contenders are. And many of them follow Oscar history — young ingenues, overlooked veterans.…