Awards

2019 Oscar Predictions: Best Actress

Best Actress is one of the most competitive categories at the 2019 as Glenn Close hopes to finally seal the deal.

Best Actress, unlike its Best Actor counterpart, is a little bit more clear in terms of who the top contenders are. And many of them follow Oscar history — young ingenues, overlooked veterans. However, it's a long list of contenders. Here are our predictions for Best Actress at the 2019 .

Current Rankings

Glenn Close
The Wife

Olivia Coleman
The Favourite


A Star is Born

Melissa McCarthy
Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Yalitza Aparicio
Roma

Check out all our 2019 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture | Best Actor | Best ActressBest Supporting Actor | Best Supporting Actress

The Frontrunners

Glenn Close, The Wife

On her 7th career nomination, Glenn Close should FINALLY win her much deserved Oscar for The Wife. The overdue veteran narrative is always a strong one and Close is the epitome of one. The one knock against her is that her film The Wife is not widely seen. Still, her narrative should be strong enough for a win.

Olivia Coleman, The Favourite

Playing a queen often wins you an Oscar — Helen Mirren won for The Queen and won for Shakespeare in Love. However, Olivia Coleman's performance as Queen Anne in Yorgos Lanthimos' wonderfully weird The Favourite is not your typical performance.

However, after winning the Globe and giving an endearing speech her stock has certainly risen. If it wasn't for Close, she'd be the clear… favorite.

could receive her first Oscar nomination in Best Actress for A Star is Born.

Lady Gaga, A Star is Born

Although Cher and Barbara Streisand both won Oscars after successful careers as musicians — this video explains how Cher pulled off her win for Moonstruck — Lady Gaga has an uphill climb for her performance in A Star is Born.

After shockingly losing the Golden Globe to Glenn Close (see above), it's clear that she's not going to be as much of a force as we thought. Maybe her public persona as a pop star is hurting her. Either way, she's definitely winning an Oscar this year for co-writing “Shallow”.

Dark Horse

Yalitza Aparicio, Roma

Alfonso Cuarón's magnum opus Roma — in a career full of them including my personal favorite Children of Men — is going to be one of the rare foreign language films to break through in major categories. Despite that, the film's lead Yalitza Aparicio is going to have a harder time making it into the category.

Foreign language performances rarely make it into the acting categories. And to make it even harder, she doesn't speak English, which will make connecting with voters difficult — even though it really shouldn't. That being said, she's the heart of the film and could be swept along if the movie does well in nominations.

Long Shot

Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Can You Ever Forgive Me? might have fallen out of the conversation for Best Picture, but one consistent throughout the season has been Melissa McCarthy in the lead role as Lee Israel.

It's certainly a change up from her typical comedic performance, which might be to her advantage. However, because of the film's waning buzz and the fact that her co-star Richard E. Grant has been singled out for praise, she's on the bubble.

Karl Delossantos

Hey, I'm Karl, founder and film critic at Smash Cut. I started Smash Cut in 2014 to share my love of movies and give a perspective I haven't yet seen represented. I'm also an editor at The New York Times, a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, and a member of the Online Film Critics Society.

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