Despite the mess that is the 2019 Oscars, it is refreshing to have a season that feels unpredictable. Best Picture is still up in the air as is Best Supporting Actress while there is room for upsets in nearly every category. As a lifelong Oscar fan, it’s always more excited to not know who’s going to win come Sunday night.
Here are my predictions in ever category:
Best Picture
- BlacKkKlansman
- Black Panther — SAG
- Bohemian Rhapsody — Globe
- The Favourite
- Green Book — Globe, PGA
- Roma — BAFTA, DGA, Critics Choice
- A Star is Born
- Vice
Will Win: BlacKkKlansman
Could Win: Roma or Green Book
Should Win: Roma or Black Panther
I’m taking a big swing in this category. While BlacKkKlansman hasn’t won a major prize, it was nominated every where it needed to be. People love and respect Spike Lee. I think this is going to do really well on the preferential ballot. As long as Roma or Green Book don’t win on a first round then I think this is your Best Picture winner.
Best Actress
The nominees:
- Glenn Close, The Wife
- Olivia Coleman, The Favourite
- Lady Gaga, A Star is Born
- Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
- Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
Will Win: Glenn Close, The Wife
Could Win: Olivia Coleman, The Favourite
Should Win: Olivia Coleman, The Favourite
Glenn Close will finally end her 37-year losing streak when she wins her first Oscar for The Wife. There is the *tiniest* chance that BAFTA winner Olivia Coleman wins for her performance Queen Ann in The Favourite.
Best Actor
The nominees:
- Christian Bale, Vice
- Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
- Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
- Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate
- Viggo Mortensen, Green Book
Will win: Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Could win: Christian Bale, Vice
Should win: Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
Although Christian Bale won the Golden Globe and Critics Choice awards for his performance as Dick Cheney in Vice, I think the real challenger to clear frontrunner Rami Malek is Bradley Cooper. For better or worse, he’s been in the news a lot and if voters want to award A Star is Born outside of Best Original Song, this would be the place to do it.
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