Golden Globe Predictions 2017 – Film

The Golden Globes are the first major stop on the way to the Oscars. While the winner here aren’t exactly predictive, many consider speeches their Oscar auditions. Here are our predictions for the 2017 Golden Globes!

Check out our 2017 Oscar Predictions!

Best Motion Picture, Drama

Nominees:
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

Will Win: Moonlight
Could Win: Manchester by the Sea
Should Win: Moonlight
Dark Horse (possible upset winner): Hacksaw Ridge

The overall consensus among pundits is that Manchester by the Sea will win this by a hair. However, Moonlight has been on a run this season. Manchester by the Sea just doesn’t have the same buzz that Moonlight has. So, I’m going to give it the edge. However, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Manchester take it. But watch out for Hacksaw Ridge. It has its fans. Plus, anything is possible with Mel Gibson scoring a surprise director nomination.

Best Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

Nominees:
20th Century Women
Deadpool
Florence Foster Jenkins
La La Land
Sing Street

Will Win: La La Land Could Win: N/A Should Win: La La Land Dark Horse: Deadpool The Oscar frontrunner La La Land should easily win this category. The Globes award buzz and whenever they actually have a musical in this category, they pounce (Les Miserables, Sweeny Todd, Dreamgirls.) However – and call me crazy – I think Deadpool has a legitimate run at this category. While it certainly has its detractors, its fans are rabid. If somehow there's a crazy upset, that's the film that would pull it off.

Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama

Nominees: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea Joel Edgerton, Loving Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic Denzel Washington, Fences Will Win: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea Could Win: Denzel Washington, Fences Should Win: Joel Edgerton, Loving Dark Horse: Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge I think the is a closer race than people think. The Oscar frontrunner Casey Affleck is the obvious choice. However, the Golden Globes love Denzel Washington. He even received the Cecil B. DeMille award last year. He could easily snatch this from under Affleck. With two movies out, Andrew Garfield can also make a late surge.

Actress in a Motion Picture, Drama

Nominees: Amy Adams, Arrival Jessica Chastain, Miss Sloane Isabelle Huppert, Elle Ruth Negga, Loving Natalie Portman, Jackie Will Win: Natalie Portman, Jackie Could Win: Isabelle Huppert, Elle Should Win: Ruth Negga, Loving Dark Horse: Amy Adams, Arrival I'm so torn between in this category. Natalie Portman is an Oscar frontrunner, which usually automatically gives you the edge. However, Isabelle Huppert also made a run through the critic's awards. In addition, she is a foreign actress (remember the HFPA is made up of foreign journalists) and had two high-profile movies this year. I'm going to give it to Portman right now, but I can easily see Huppert winning. Watch out for Golden Globe darling Amy Adams to upset here as well.

Actor in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

Nominees: Colin Farrell, The Lobster Ryan Gosling, La La Land Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins Jonah Hill, War Dogs Ryan Reynolds, Deadpool Will Win: Ryan Reynolds, Deadpool Could Win: Ryan Gosling, La La Land Should Win: Ryan Gosling, La La Land Dark Horse: Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins Ryan vs. Ryan. This is a closer race than I think people make it out to be. While Ryan Gosling is the most likely of the bunch to reap an Oscar nomination, it isn't a straight comedic performance. Plus, he's not a frontrunner to win the Oscar, which is usually the way the Globes go. That's why I think Ryan Reynolds has a clear shot at the win. His performance is broad comedy. So, for drama sake, I'm gonna say Reynolds takes it by a hair. But my advice is that if you hear the name Ryan being called, wait for the presenter to finish before standing up.

Actress in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

Nominees: Annette Bening, 20th Century Women Lily Collins, Rules Don't Apply Hailee Steinfeld, The Edge of Seventeen Emma Stone, La La Land Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Will Win: Emma Stone, La La Land Could Win: Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins Should Win: Emma Stone, La La Land Dark Horse: Annette Bening, 20th Century Women Without her biggest Oscar rival Natalie Portman in the way, Emma Stone has a clear run at this category. In addition to being in the most likely winner for Best Motion Picture, she has yet to win, which the Globes love. But favorite Meryl Streep, who has 7 Globes and is the Cecille B. DeMille winner this year has a shot. However, most likely the Globes would want to spread the love.

Actor in a Supporting Role

Nominees: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water Simon Helberg, Florence Foster Jenkins Dev Patel, Lion Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals Will Win: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight Could Win: Dev Patel, Lion Should Win: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight Dark Horse: Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water The Golden Globes are often where the contender with the momentum from the critic's awards can slip up. Think Lupita N'yongo a few years ago. However, I think Mahershala Ali should be safe because a consistent number two competitor hasn't come up. It could possibly be Jeff Bridges, but I actually think Dev Patel has more appeal for this group. They love awarding young actor who have earned their due. Plus, with foreign appeal and the Weinstein company behind him, he has a shot.

Actress in a Supporting Role

Nominees: Viola Davis, Fences Naomie Harris, Moonlight Nicole Kidman, Lion Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea Will Win: Viola Davis, Fences Could Win: N/A Should Win: Naomie Harris, Moonlight Dark Horse: Nicole Kidman, Lion Viola Davis would have had to do something pretty terrible to the HFPA to lose this category. Even then, she'd probably still win. There is one scenerio I can see Nicole Kidman winning in, which would be the Weinstein Company going on a run with Lion and shockingly upset Davis.

Best Director

Nominees: Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge Damien Chazelle, La La Land Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea Barry Jenkins, Moonlight Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals Will Win: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight Could Win: Damien Chazelle, La La Land Should Win: Damien Chazelle, La La Land or Barry Jenkins, Moonlight Dark Horse: Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge

Best Screenplay

Nominees: Damien Chazelle, La La Land Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals Barry Jenkins, Moonlight Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea Taylor Sheridan, Hell or High Water

Will Win: Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea Could Win: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight Should Win: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight Dark Horse: Taylor Sheridan, Hell or High Water

Best Animated Feature

Nominees: Kubo and the Two Strings Moana My Life as a Zucchini Sing Zootopia Will Win: Zootopia Could Win: Moana Should Win: Kubo and the Two Strings Dark Horse: My Life as a Zucchini